$250,000 in Bitcoin, how far away is it?

TechFlow
TechFlow
BTC-0.26%

Written by Alertforalpha

Compilation: Vernacular blockchain

$250,000 in Bitcoin – sounds crazy, right?

But some firm bulls have come up with this number, and they have chart support. Here's why it's more than just fantasy.

1. M2 Money Surge – A Tsunami of Liquidity

The global M2 money supply is surging and is not going to stop anytime soon. According to Real Vision, the global liquidity boom will continue until 2026. This means that the four-year cycle could be broken. Don't expect a peak this October to be on time. If the money continues to flow, BTC could reach $250,000 next spring.

2. High-yield bonds – no panic, no problems

Bitcoin bull Tom Lee noted that there was no panic in the high-yield bond market – a bellwether for the financial crisis. Government bonds are somewhat volatile, but high-yield bonds are calm. This is not a pre-crash signal. If the bond market isn't panicking, you don't have to panic.

3. V-shaped recovery probability – history is on the side of the bulls

Interestingly, since 1950, 17 of the 18 major declines have seen a V-shaped rapid recovery, with a 94% hit rate. If you think the market will crash outright, you are playing against history.

4. Business Cycle Bottom – We are at a low point

The market peaks at the top of the business cycle, not at the bottom. We are still in the "bad, terrible" phase of the cycle. That's good for bulls. Once the cycle flips, the bull market comes.

5. The technical model points higher

Technical analysis also supports the upside:

  • Power-law chart: $150,000 baseline at the end of 2025 and $250,000 in 2028.

  • Pi cycle top: currently around $160,000, but up to $250,000 on a sustained basis.

  • Golden Ratio Multiplier: A conservative estimate of $160,000, with a slight extension of $250,000.

  • Fibonacci Expansion: If history repeats itself, target $215,000 to $250,000.

6. Institutions are still hoarding

Don't forget the big ones. Institutions such as BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still buying Bitcoin heavily. There are even rumors that the U.S. government is considering adding BTC to its strategic reserve. You don't want to get on the train while it's moving.

7. Adjust your mindset – It's a long game

Yes, there will be "violent, disgusting callbacks" on the road. You'll feel like it's all over – and then the price skyrockets. On the way to $250,000, there will be countless newbies who will be liquidated. Don't be one of them.

Wrap up – keep it up

The bottom line? Ignore the noise, ignore the bears, and stay focused. If you're a long-time player, $250,000 in Bitcoin isn't just possible – it's right around the corner.

Show original
The content on this page is provided by third parties. Unless otherwise stated, OKX TR is not the author of the cited article(s) and does not claim any copyright in the materials. The content is provided for informational purposes only and does not represent the views of OKX TR. It is not intended to be an endorsement of any kind and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell digital assets. To the extent generative AI is utilized to provide summaries or other information, such AI generated content may be inaccurate or inconsistent. Please read the linked article for more details and information. OKX TR is not responsible for content hosted on third party sites. Digital asset holdings, including stablecoins and NFTs, involve a high degree of risk and can fluctuate greatly. You should carefully consider whether trading or holding digital assets is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.