Curious about the future of interest rates and the economy? Now the Fed is back cutting again, everyone wants to know how low they're going to go or how far Treasury yields will fall.
We have some answers.
1. Swaps & Curve: The market indicates a strong likelihood of lower short-term rates, potentially down to 1% or even zero as the Fed responds to economic weakness.
2. Steepening: History shows the spread during bull steepening periods.
3. Other signals: Record low copper-to-gold ratio indicates max steepening is likely to be far flatter than prior history.
Full explanation here:
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