WLFI Unlock Countdown: Trump's 15.75% Whale Position, Can the Market Withstand "Presidential Selling Pressure"?

By Golem, Odaily Planet Daily

This morning, the Trump family's crypto project, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), posted that there was a major news release coming up and hinted at something related to the start of a token transfer. The community's enthusiasm for WLFI is back on the rise, chanting "The big one is coming."

In mid-June, there was already news in the market that WLFI was about to start circulating in advance, because the WLFI project team deleted the mandatory 12-month lock-up clause on the official website, and added an overlord statement that "the company can modify and update the terms of service at any time". Affected by the news, the WLFI unit price once rose to $0.15 on the sidelines, which has increased 10 times compared with the first round of pre-sale price ($0.015), and now the price has fallen back to around 0.12.

The launch of WLFI is imminent, and the price prediction after its launch has also become a topic of general concern in the market. In this article, Odaliy Planet Daily will review the tokenomics of WLFI and analyze its price and selling pressure after its launch in combination with position data for readers' reference.

WLFI pre-sale review, with a total of more than $550 million raised

The total WLFI is 100 billion, all of which are currently locked, and WLFI has gone through three rounds of pre-sales before, the details are as follows:

WLFI's first pre-sale opens in October 2024 at $0.015 per token for a total of 20 billion pieces (20% of the total supply). The first round of WLFI's presale was slow due to the fact that the market was flooded with many FUD voices at this time, but after Trump's coin, the popularity of WLFI gradually increased, and finally 20 billion WLFI tokens were successfully sold on January 20, 2025, raising $300 million.

After the first presale, WLFI opened the second presale at $0.05 per coin, with a total of 5 billion coins (5% of the total supply). The second presale sold out on March 14, 2025, raising $250 million.

The first two rounds of the WLFI presale are open to the public, and the third round of the presale is an institutional round that is not open to the public, and the price is $0.1 per token. What is known is that on April 9, DWF Labs subscribed for 250 million WLFI for $25 million, and a whale bought a total of 800 million WLFI on June 4 and June 12 for $80 million.

According to the above public information, WLFI sold a total of 26.05 billion tokens through three rounds of pre-sale, accounting for 26.05% of the total supply. However, because the third round of pre-sales is not open to the public, the actual pre-sale data may be biased.

WLFI's position holder data and selling pressure

Of the 100 billion WLFI tokens, excluding 26.05% of the presale, there are still 739.5 (73.95% of the total supply) "missing".

However, according to Trump's 2025 financial disclosure document (deadline of January 2025) released by the White House, Trump alone accounts for 15.75% of the total supply of 15.75 billion WLFI tokens held through his ETH wallet. The financial documents calculate the value of this part as around $1,000-$15,000, but at the current off-market price of about $0.12, it is worth about $1.89 billion.

Among the holders of WLFI, there is also an existence that cannot be ignored is Sun Yuchen. Justin Sun invested a total of $75 million in WLFI through HTX Nexus and TRON DAO between November 2024 and January 2025; According to public information, Sun currently holds a total of 3 billion WLFI, accounting for 3% of the total supply.

According to on-chain data, there are a total of 85,870 addresses holding WLFI tokens. Crypto blogger @pow_fan counted the funding brackets of users who participated in WLFI purchases, and although the data is as of May 27, it is also indicative, and he himself bought $1.91 million in WLFI tokens.

As shown in the figure above, if the number of addresses purchased from $0-1000 reaches 66,910, accounting for 77% of the total purchase addresses, the total number of purchases by these users is about 520 million, accounting for only 2% of the total purchase number. Therefore, even if this part is fully circulated, it will not have a big impact on the entire market. On the contrary, although there are only 64 addresses with a purchase capital of more than $1 million, the number of purchases accounts for 56.4%.

WLFI token selling pressure

Therefore, from the above data, it can be seen that WLFI is a token with a high concentration of token holdings in the hands of large investors, which is not only an advantage for pulling orders, but if it is sold, it can also instantly put pressure on the market, and retail investors will pay for large investors.

The circulating amount of tokens determines the selling pressure, and WLFI has not officially announced whether to choose a one-time full release or linear unlocking or a special restriction on large investors if the WLFI token is open for transfer, but if we consider the extreme case of full release at one time. Who among the big players will be the selling pressure?

According to the holder data, the likely selling pressure will come first from large investors such as Trump (15.75%), followed by Justin Sun (3%), and finally from institutions such as DWF Labs (0.25%).

In fact, the probability of Sun Yuchen selling WLFI is low, although Sun Yuchen has the habit of "selling HSR when he goes out" and "throwing TRUMP" after dinner, but this is also after the goal is achieved. The purpose of Justin Sun's purchase of WLFI is to show loyalty to the Trump family, so as to remove obstacles for TRON to comply with the United States and go public.

And the real selling pressure will come from Trump and the establishments. Trump is both the largest holder and the biggest selling pressure on WLFI, as it is already an indisputable fact that the Trump family uses the crypto industry as an ATM (related reading: Presidential Privilege Realization Notes: How the Trump Family Harvested the Crypto Market with TRUMP Tokens?). It's only given that it still has "value" for the crypto industry that crypto users haven't erupted in mass protests and FUDs. The 15.75% token may be a heavy blow to the market if it does sneak into the market, and WLFI will replicate the history of TRUMP, but it may be difficult to reach the heights of TRUMP before the crash.

Estimated market capitalization of WLFI listings

So, how much can WLFI be priced at once it goes live?

If the more than 26 billion tokens in the pre-sale will be fully circulated, at the current OTC price of $0.12, the circulating market capitalization will be $3.12 billion, which is equivalent to the market capitalization of Aptos, ranking 39th in crypto; If the price breaks through $0.5, the market capitalization will be $13 billion, which will surpass HYPE and rank 13th in crypto; If the price breaks through $1, the market capitalization will be $26 billion, and the circulating market capitalization will surpass the market capitalization of DOGE and TRX, ranking 8th in crypto.

The Trump family's last token, TRUMP, had a maximum price of $82, and the circulating market capitalization at the time was about $13 billion, which is equivalent to a WLFI price breaking through $0.5.

If combined with the business comparison, WLFI has a stablecoin product USD 1, which can be compared with Circle: Circle now has a market capitalization of $44.7 billion, with a circulating market capitalization of about $23.7 billion; Based on this benchmark, the WLFI price will be around 0.8 ~ 1 USD.

Of course, there are also extremely optimistic people in the community who believe that the WLFI will reach $0.47 at launch, then break through $4.7, and finally reach a height of $47. Why the number "47"? This may be due to the fact that WLFI previously airdropped 47 USD1 to holders, and that Trump is now in office as the 47th president of the United States.