The likelihood of a U.S. government shutdown is continuing to rise. If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party cannot reach an agreement, the federal government will officially shut down at 12:01 AM on October 1. The latest data from the Polymarket platform shows that the probability of betting on "the U.S. government shutting down in 2025" has risen to 76%, while the probability of a shutdown before October 1 is 63%. Bank of America economist Stephen Juneau stated that Congress is on recess this week, and the deadline to avoid a government shutdown on September 30 is approaching. The possibility of a U.S. government shutdown is indeed quite high and seems to be increasing. Additionally, according to the latest news, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has requested that federal agencies prepare plans for potential layoffs in a memorandum. This move significantly escalates the tense standoff in Washington and is seen as the latest tactic to pressure the Democrats as...
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