How many real ways are there to make money in a prediction market? Answer: almost none. But why should you care? Because it's turning into a hundreds-of-billions-dollar industry. Let’s talk about Polymarket: - Handles 100k–150k matched transactions per day - Cumulative volume so far: $12.7B (across both CTF and Negrisk markets) - Even after the U.S. election hype, they’re still doing $800M–$1.1B per month Then there’s Kalshi: - Running sports prediction markets in all 50 U.S. states - challenging existing state gambling laws - Hit a $2B valuation as of June 2025, mostly off the back of its sports market momentum So yes, prediction markets are making their way.

But let’s look at the other side of the coin: - Orderbooks are thin → liquidity is weak → spreads are wide → users pay high premiums - Protocols rake in profits but regular users? Incentives don't really exist - Some platforms let you LP to earn points, but those aren’t direct yield – just sugar-coating From a regular user's perspective, here’s the real question: Are we just gambling and enriching platforms? Or is there actually a way for users to consistently make money in this massive market? What if I told you there is a yield-bearing Prediction Market? @robinmarketsxyz is actually the first to bring this idea into motion — soon to go live on @berachain .

How does @robinmarketsxyz work? 1) Earn Yield by LPing and on trading volume - LPs use stablecoins to mint YES/NO tokens to either open a position (bet) or act as market-makers - Stablecoins are immediately put to work in DeFi-native yield farms (vaults) - A portion of the yield is paid directly to LPs - Another portion of the yield is used to incentivize traders based on volume → Creates more volume and active markets → Generates more fees for LPs and deeper liquidity → LPs and traders are paid directly out of profits made → No inflationary or reliance on token emissions (The difference between Robin and traditional PMs lies in how Robin utilizes idle TVL for yield farming and uses that yield as incentives -> capital efficiency)

2) Win or Lose – You Get Paid At resolution, the locked funds and yields are withdrawn from the vault and distributed to LPs and traders — market outcomes do not affect your incentives Note: Yield can only be claimed at the end of the market by the wallet that originally deposited the funds (ensures capital commitment and avoids extraction)

3) LPing on Robin Robin routes minted tokens (YES/NO) to supply liquidity through a Uniswap v3-style CLAMM from Kodiak (Berachain's native DEX) → Concentrated liquidity with defined price ranges → Earn swap fees with minimal slippage

4) Extra Yield on Berachain - Since the stablecoins used to mint outcome tokens are routed into whitelisted yield strategies (e.g., Berachain-native protocols like Berps or other PoL-eligible vaults) Especially those tier-1 external DeFi protocols such as: @beraborrow or @Dolomite_io (for lending-based yield) → LPs earn an additional yield source of BGT (@berachain emission token)

5) In-house Oracle Robin Optimistic Oracle is a decentralized system for resolving prediction markets directly on-chain using an “optimistic” method: anyone can report an outcome, and if unchallenged, it becomes final. It aligns incentives through bonded staking, challenges, and reputation. - How it works: Reporter submits answer → waiting period for challenges → if unchallenged, answer is accepted. - Bonds: Reporters/challengers have to stake bonds to submit a report or a dispute. Liars lose, honest actors earn. - Disputes: Escalate through 3 layers: committee, token vote, attester panel. with increasing bond costs. - Users with higher reputation will cost lower bond as requirement and vice versa. This is very different from other PMs, where large token holders have the ability to distort market outcomes, even when the majority disagreed (manipulation). Because on Robin, it does not rely on the amount of token one holds.

TL;DR While speculating on a prediction market can be fun and PM protocols are generating 8–9 figures in volume, @robinmarketsxyz provides a whole new solution where: - Passive capital becomes an actively productive financial instrument that earns yield → capital efficiency - Dual incentives for both LPs and high-volume traders - Yield generated is distributed to LPs and traders → drives more volume, active markets, and deeper liquidity - No inflation, no reliance on token emissions - Yield can only be claimed at the end of the market → ensures capital commitment - Liquidity is utilized via Kodiak’s v3-style CLAMM (@KodiakFi) → earn swap fees with concentrated price ranges - Earn additional BGT yield from Berachain - Decentralized oracle system designed on 3 layers of dispute that aligned with incentives. The system helps to prevent manipulation from large token holders

Final Thoughts In my opinion, Robin addresses several of the most critical gaps in today’s prediction markets: - Many markets take weeks or even months to resolve, which means large amounts of capital are just sitting idle. Robin’s approach to lending that capital out in DeFi strategies is a smart way to make it productive. - Traders — especially retail gamblers — are always around, but they’re typically not the ones bringing significant capital. On the other hand, large trading firms and smart money usually look for ways to deploy capital through market making or on orderbooks to earn real returns. @robinmarketsxyz is uniquely positioned to serve both parties When I spoke with Robin’s co-founder, one of the most exciting things he shared was that he is cooking on higher yield strategies i.e Infrared Point. Another interesting idea: allowing users to withdraw the yield they’ve earned mid-market and use it to place new bets. That kind of gamified reinvestment loop could unlock a much stickier and more engaging experience. @robinmarketsxyz doesn’t just patch over the problems prediction markets have — it turns them into opportunities. And that’s why it might just be the next major shift in the PM industry.