嘴撸太多了,分享一点内容对冲一下
图一是一个标准 rug 诈骗盘的开盘前五分钟每笔买入的 usd 价值分布图,在大约 400u ~ 800u 处有一个很明显突兀的突起
因为大部分一键开盘工具在捆绑开盘时会提供类似“同时使用 20 个钱包打满内盘,每笔捆绑交易 3~5 SOL”的选项,同时缺少散户带来的正常交易金额,大量买入交易集中在这个区间内就导致了这个异常的峰
那一个正常的分布应该长什么样子呢?众所周知(?)我们可以近似假设每笔买入金额符合泊松分布(Poisson distribution),理论上会长这样:
而 $GOR 创建后前五分钟每笔买入的 usd 价值分布图长这样:
曲线的变化趋势比较平滑的,符合理论
另外图中箭头处也有几个不那么突兀的突起,我猜想可能的原因有以下几点:
1. 交易者习惯使用一个“整数”下单,比如图中突起处正好分别对应了 2, 5, 10 个 SOL 的价值
2.
有
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