牛市三部曲,永远轮回,但从未改变 每一轮牛市都像在重演同一出戏,只是演员换了,链换了,叙事换了,但节奏,从来没变过。 第一步:比特先行 牛市的序章,永远是 BTC 的慢慢爬升。带来了信心,唤回了资金,是市场风向的起点。 这时候大家还在观望、还在不信,但聪明的钱已经开始布局。 牛市是否真的开始?看比特币有没有率先走出新高。 第二步:主流暴涨(含价值币) 当 BTC 站稳后,ETH、SOL、BNB 等主流开始接力, 市值中前排的价值币轮番起飞,MEME、DeFi、L2、基础设施全线启动。 这时候媒体开始造势,数据开始爆发,你会看到一堆XX生态爆发的新闻。 大部分赚钱的机会,其实都藏在这一段,属于最健康的暴涨期。 第三步:垃圾乱飞,击鼓传花 这是牛市最后的高潮,一堆没人听过的币,涨十倍、几十倍;meme 板块天天出新人,每天都是 “The next $PEPE ”。 资金开始脱离理性,项目开始玩情绪短线, 割韭菜变成你情我愿。 真正的 FOMO 来自这一阶段,而真正的风险,也藏在这一阶段。 所以,不要急,行情总是一波一波来。 我们现在在哪? BTC 已经率先反弹,ETH刚刚启动,价值币热度开始起来 我认为还在第二阶段前中段 真正的高潮,还没来。 真正的疯狂,也还在后头。
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