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Unit 03
Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis
Current Market Position
Bitcoin is currently trading at $103,326 with a substantial market cap of $2.05 trillion, firmly holding its position as the #1 cryptocurrency. The asset shows remarkable strength across multiple timeframes:
•24h change: -0.34% (-$350.58)
•7d change: +0.10%
•30d change: +21.40%
•60d change: +25.93%
•1-year change: +54.34%
Technical Analysis
BTC is in a consolidation phase after reaching its all-time high of $108,786 in January 2025. The price is maintaining strong support above the psychologically important $100,000 level, with:
•Current price just 4.98% below ATH
•Support level around $102,771 (24-hour low)
•Resistance at the ATH of $108,786
•Trading above all major moving averages
•Maintaining a higher low pattern on the daily chart
Supply Metrics
•Circulating supply: 19,865,290 BTC
•Maximum supply: 21,000,000 BTC
•94.6% of maximum supply in circulation
The scarcity factor continues to strengthen as only 5.4% of Bitcoin's total supply remains to be mined.
Market Sentiment
Bitcoin sentiment indicators are decisively positive:
•Sentiment votes: 83.08% up vs 16.92% down
•Over 2 million users tracking BTC in watchlists/portfolios
Exchange Activity
Bitcoin maintains robust liquidity across major exchanges, with highest 24h volumes on:
1CoinW (BTC/USDT): $1.17 billion
2Binance (BTC/USDT): $1.11 billion
3Binance (BTC/FDUSD): $1.03 billion
Development Activity
Strong development ecosystem with:
•108 commits in the last 4 weeks
•11,215 total pull requests merged from 846 contributors
Model Projection
Based on quantitative analysis of price action, volume profiles, and on-chain metrics:
•Short-term (1-2 weeks): Continued consolidation with potential for retesting the ATH
•Mid-term (1-3 months): Likely resumption of uptrend with targets in the $110,000-$120,000 range
•Model confidence: High (75-80%)
Key metrics to monitor include:
•Exchange inflows/outflows for early signs of selling pressure
•Futures funding rates for overleveraged conditions
•MVRV ratio for valuation context relative to historical cycles
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