For this story to be true, L1 must scale.
Appchains are the logical future, but it L1 must be the default general-purpose chain.
If @ethereum foundation allows this role to be captured by a centralized rollup controlled by a single corporation, ETH as an asset can only rely on monetary premium for its value, as there’s technically no way to tax L2s in the long run. Narratives, shmeratives—ETH is now in a serious league and smart money can see through this.
If monetary premium (SoV of web3, “digital silver”, etc) is then further not embraced memetically by the entire Ethereum community, cheerled by @VitalikButerin himself, idk.
Ethereum has a very simple investment narrative, but we've managed to overthink it
1) The play is infrastructure for the future global financial system
2) Ethereum will serve as the settlement and interoperability layer, which is a winner-take-all market
3) The strategy is to keep fees low and drive mass adoption and then capture some of that much greater value in the future via appropriate pricing (gas fees)
4) We're already seeing mass adoption taking off (ie stablecoins), and Ethereum is already the very clear winner; no close competitor
And that's it. Just a very straightforward, very profitable business model.
No 'ETH is money' confusing things; no ultrasound anything; no triple point or however many point thesis. Just a simple, easy narrative that's very difficult to refute.
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