From this indicator, retail investors are now shifting from bullish to bearish. Red is positive, indicating retail investors are mainly long; green is negative, indicating retail investors are starting to focus on short positions. If you want to make money, you need to go against retail investors. This is an auxiliary judgment but quite useful, especially after the large-scale 519 event shown in the second chart. After 519, there was a 2-month consolidation, and retail investors were mainly shorting. The bull market relied on spot trading, but now it relies on contracts. If retail investors keep shorting for a long time, that means there is enough bearish fuel, and a reverse rally can happen, potentially a big one. If the rally starts now with so little bearish fuel, a big rally is unlikely. The best scenario now is a final drop to trigger a short squeeze, which would be perfect. That would make bears more aggressive. You can look at a single exchange or all exchanges (chart three). This is an auxiliary tool, and I have a feeling there will be big volatility in the second half of the year. BTC is at an OB level; let's see if it can break through and hold or if it's a bull trap? Watch and see as it unfolds. #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC

Everyone doing technical analysis must repeatedly study this Wyckoff trading method. The more you read and practice, the more you will find the tricks. The Wyckoff trading method is divided into five steps: 1. Stock Selection: Look for stocks in an uptrend with stable market performance and no large fluctuations. 2. Entry Point: Choose an entry point that suits your personal investment style and experience, following the principle of "always invest less money to make more money." 3. Stop-Loss Point: Set a stop-loss to control risk and avoid excessive losses. 4. Exit Strategy: Develop a reasonable exit strategy, timely grasp the selling opportunity based on candlestick trends and profit/loss status to secure gains. 5. Profit Management: Manage profits promptly during the investment process, continuously adapt to market conditions, adjust investment strategies, and ensure maximum profitability. $BTC $ETH #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

The crypto world is often like this: one moment it's bullish, the next moment it turns bearish. You have to decisively place orders like a machine, and then it's right; stubbornly holding a position will definitely lead to loss. Revisiting an old method from a long time ago is quite thought-provoking, but one important factor is high leverage. People who don't understand often think high leverage is gambling. Actually, let's put it this way: for example, he uses 33x leverage, I use 10x, and you use 5x. Your 5x safety margin might be the same as ours. If we really get liquidated, you will also end up at zero. But if the direction is right, what’s the outcome? Maybe we all exit with several times profit. You might think you earned less, but if you hold on a bit more, you might break even or exit with a loss, or exit early. $BTC $ETH #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

The Wyckoff trading method in the crypto space mostly only has a second occurrence, not a third. Once the second occurrence appears, you need to find an opportunity to enter. Identify the target you want to trade and just compare it accordingly. Reading books can also help. This method is for finding the major bottom. You can read many trading books, which will solidify your foundation. You can think of books as the 99% rule table—you can memorize it, but that doesn't mean you're good at math. Ultimately, it's about refining your own trading system and position management. Trading systems and position management are actually closely related to personal character. If you understand a large number of trading books, it’s relatively easier to know which trading style suits you. Another benefit is that you basically only need to observe how others open their trades to easily understand what trading system they are using. This way, you won’t feel like one moment this method is awesome and the next moment that one is making money. Different trading methods belong to different schools. When you open a trade, you’re actually betting on probabilities because you don’t know afterward whether it will break out or break down. Legendary traders aren’t technically superior to others; they just have more courage. Trading is gambling. You need to accept the underlying psychological logic that trading is probabilistic. Whether you’re timid or not is related to personality, and it’s hard to cultivate this trait later in life. $BTC #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

BTC is currently in a very awkward position, it can go up or down, making it extremely difficult. Do not hold your position stubbornly. The main purpose of the major players at this stage is to trap one side, then give hope, followed by heavy averaging down, and finally a violent breakout in the opposite direction. The other side then becomes a booster for the major players' desired direction. It has always been like this. Simply put, if the major players want to short, they will let the shorts taste some profit, then lightly trap you, then release you to create an expectation that bulls will surely win, and then trap you again, making you slowly average down. Many people start unwilling to hold their positions, but when they realize it, the candlesticks have already been held for a long time, and in the end, they hold on with an all-in attitude and get liquidated. Therefore, in contracts, always follow the trend direction. It may slap your face 2-3 times, but in the end, it will definitely reward you. After all, the major players incur costs manipulating the ups and downs, and in the end, you must align with the major players' direction. $BTC #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

The market has started to diverge. Since BTC and ETH got ETFs, the game difficulty has spiraled upwards, and the number of people losing money will increase significantly; Many people can't wait to bottom-fish now. What I want to remind you is that experts die from bottom-fishing. It's better to let the market tell you when you can enter. When the market signals you can enter, you will feel it yourself without anyone telling you; The current situation is not ideal. BTC hasn't dropped to the ideal price, so it's not good to bottom-fish yet. Also, beware of a collective altcoin crash on 10.11, but this is also a good sign. Those who watch the market closely and react quickly can bottom-fish fast—basically a money-picking market. Indicators are something everyone interprets and uses differently. Why do some people lose and some make money looking at indicators? The key lies in practical experience and understanding of the market. The worst is looking at all kinds of indicators but mastering none. Keep waiting! $BTC $ETH #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

12. Short-term trading requires coordination across multiple timeframes; you cannot focus on just one K-line timeframe. Analyze from 4 hours to 1 hour to 15 minutes before trading on minute-level K-lines. 13. When the sideways bottom rises and the pullback stops with volume, there will be a breakout at the corresponding higher-level resistance. Even if there isn't, you won't lose; the stop of the decline and rebound with volume, followed by a breakout with volume, guarantees a strong move. 14. In short-term trading, do not blindly follow indicators; adjust your expectations based on the price action at any time. 15. Strong altcoins only pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 16. Sharp drops tend to have larger rebounds, while gradual declines rarely rebound; coins in a gradual decline should be observed on longer timeframes. 17. In an upward breakout, if volume cannot keep up, it means the breakout is in its final stage; close positions and exit. 18. Resistance and support levels are areas where previous chips (positions) have accumulated. 19. How to identify a pullback stop signal? Compare 100 stop patterns, then enter the market to fight alongside the big players, accumulating battle experience. 20. When a breakout or drop reaches the target price, a new trend is needed to judge the next opportunity. Most rebounds behave this way: after reaching the target, the price quickly falls, then watch if the pullback can form support or sideways consolidation to prepare for the next breakout. 21. Time is a very important indicator to judge whether a short-term rally is genuine. For example, whether the 15-minute consolidation is long enough, compared to the previous consolidation and the extent of the rally, all should be compared with the previous trend. (To be continued) $BTC #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到

(Effective techniques from study notes since 2021 still in use) 1. In a major trend, during an upward market, small-scale pullbacks can be used as entry points for going long. 2. In one-minute short-term trading, during a 15-minute main upward wave, a volume surge with a sharp drop followed by a rebound signal will typically rebound near the 90 moving average, but a slow decline won’t rebound until it hits a major support level. 3. The longer the sideways consolidation, the bigger the drop or upward breakout. 4. For breakout trades, altcoins can surge about 10%, mainstream coins 3-5%. The longer the adjustment, the larger the surge; encountering major resistance can lead to a violent breakout. 5. In short-term sideways consolidation, when the market maker draws very balanced K-lines and small-scale bottoms keep rising, breaking above major resistance signals the end of adjustment and a possible explosive rally. 6. The characteristic of a rebound is that once it reaches the target level, it will fall, then retest the bottom to stop falling, forming a new adjustment, then consolidate and break out. The main upward wave has no trapped positions. 7. Altcoin 15-minute K-line pulling back to Fibonacci 0.382 level indicates the end of a wave. If it doesn’t break the start point, a second wave rise is possible. 8. Volume-accelerated declines and rises become unstoppable trends. When acceleration changes, and the down or uptrend slows or enters sideways with moving averages converging, a counter-rally is likely, forming a short-term bullish trend. 9. Contracts are for stop-loss and trial-and-error. Within a large cycle, small-scale declines are used for rebounds. If the entry point is wrong, adjusting the average price usually allows a safe exit, but if the large cycle judgment is wrong, losses can be significant. 10. Initial short-term position size is 5% of capital, with 5x leverage. 11. The appearance of a "three steps two returns" K-line pattern indicates weak market maker strength. To trade, choose coins where the market maker can draw good K-lines. (Part 1) $BTC

Observing all financial markets, we can see a very interesting phenomenon: the money made in a bull market is eventually lost by the vast majority of people, even turning profits into principal losses. First, you need to have a concept of the financial circle. When something goes from the initial stage to booming, then to a bear market, the curve roughly looks like this chart, which only shows the final overall trend of a coin or an asset. But in fact, the entire crypto space also has an invisible K-line chart. Yes, it is invisible, and it represents the entire crypto market, which is actually the same as the first chart. So most people make money in the bull market and sell their coins, but if they don't cash out (key point), they are still trapped in this invisible K-line without escaping the peak. When this invisible K-line starts to bear, no matter what you do, you will lose money, whether it's the primary market, secondary market, or Ponzi schemes, etc. As long as it is a related industry, it is within this invisible K-line circle. Only cashing out and controlling your position can get you out. If you raise your perspective to look at the crypto space, you will discover some new things. This is also life. $BTC $ZEC

The Most Important Things in Investing (Reading Notes) 1: To advance your standards of acquisition, you need more wisdom and practice, as well as correct and independent thinking. 2: Emotional restraint is something you must achieve. 3: Investing is a science and an art; you need to use both your brain and your heart. 4: Secrets: 1) The most important risks do not occur when everyone is fearful, but when everyone thinks the risk is very low; 2) The key is not to pursue high risk and high returns, but to pursue low risk and high returns; 3) Trends are important, but cycles are even more so; 4) Actively seek opportunities and patiently wait for them to come. 5: Recognize that the future is unpredictable, prepare in advance, and focus on the present. 6: Understand that short-term performance relies on luck, while long-term performance depends on skill. 7: You must have patience and give yourself enough time; what you want is not short-term windfall profits, but long-term stable returns. 8: Another important thing is to hold firmly. 9: When danger reaches its peak, it triggers a selling frenzy. 10: Holding on without selling is very important; to achieve this requires long-term capital (income) and strong psychological resilience. 11: Investing is a popularity contest; buying when popularity is at its peak is the most dangerous. 12: When the price of something rises, people's fondness for it should decrease; but in investing, their fondness often deepens. 13: When the last person who cannot hold on becomes a buyer, the market often peaks, regardless of fundamentals. 14: If you cannot properly manage risk, your success cannot last; understand and identify risks. 15: Ultimately, the job of a smart investor is to profit while smartly taking on risk. 16: The key to long-term investment success is risk control, not risk-taking; throughout an investment career, most investors’ results depend more on the quantity and extent of investments rather than on great winning investments. Good risk control is the hallmark of an excellent investor. 17: Humans are emotional and find it hard to remain objective consistently; they are often fickle. 18: Ignoring cycles and simply extrapolating trends is the most dangerous thing an investor can do. 19: Everything is interconnected; nothing is isolated or accidental. 20: The best opportunities usually come from doing what most people are unwilling to do. 21: Patiently waiting for opportunities and bargains is often the best strategy. 22: Do not overtake risk and leverage, or adverse outcomes will destroy you. $BTC $ETH #来了！在OKX预测世界杯，瓜分16.66个BTC！