Trần Nhựt
Trần Nhựt
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In the general context, witnessing the transition to a potential Reaccumulation structure during the Potential Shakeout Event [C] [$1600 -$2200] brings significant growth momentum in the previous year – Overall, the commitment behavior at the upper edge through the potential MSOS[D] event is quite open, as market conditions gradually weaken and transition into Upthrust action [B].
In the first three months of the new year, the supply testing behavior at the resistance zone with low liquidity shows an effort of low volume and accompanied by extremely weak closing results. Therefore, the selling pressure from Institutions remains intact, and the worst-case scenario is a price movement towards the $1850 mark AS PREDICTED EARLIER. Last week, the spread reflected through the relatively narrow volatility of $260 with a closing price of ~$2200, resulting in an Engulfing candle with a small wick and a tendency for upward force, and nothing has improved yet. Therefore, investors should be cautious and wait for a significant absorption effort as illustrated by the Institutions to prepare for the next plan.
Scenario #1: The recent good growth momentum is a positive sign for a bounce in the
upcoming period. If liquidity levels and institutional cash flow remain stable – It is highly likely that the price movement will reach the $75k mark or even further to $80k, and the structure will gain strength and become clearer.
Scenario #2: If the selling pressure remains intact following last week around the current price range - It is likely to create a downward reaction towards the lower boundary of the $60k value area. At this point, investors will wait for opportunities here.
Overall, unpredictable developments are inevitable in the market. Therefore, investors should always be cautious, manage their capital, and choose suitable Tokens, ready to set Stoploss to protect their portfolio.
In the W1 timeframe, there is an important structural transition in the Value Area [$75k - $123k] and it has confirmed the Upthrust action [B] on 10/11/2025, when the selling pressure from institutions around the upper boundary was too great and the efforts to counter the opposition through cash flow were ineffective, leading to a deep drop to the $60k mark in the first three months of the year. Last week, the spread showed a fluctuation of $6k with a closing price represented by an Engulfing candle with a narrow body and a tendency favoring the sellers, likely resulting in further downward reactions this week. Looking at it positively, this is an opportunity for investors to buy in at the lower boundary of the value area around the Potential Shakeout Event [C] [$60k - $75k].
Reflecting the total market capitalization outside the TOP 10 ALTCOINS: Reflecting the total market capitalization outside the TOP 10
ALTCOINS has recorded significant outflows and confirmed a very risky Upthrust event AND the shock has occurred causing OTHERS to evaporate ~$100B, making the market conditions at that time extremely risky.
In the early months of the year, the recovery pace is still not really clear and the structure is gradually leading to the Potential Shakeout Event [C] [$151B - $185B] and a strong rebound brings opportunities for investors in the short term, as OTHERS once again approaches the $230B mark. If not, the outflows from institutions will cause smaller-cap Altcoins to fall into crisis.
Overall, OTHERS are weaker than TOTAL3 through a clear sector differentiation – INVESTORS SHOULD FOCUS ON LARGE ASSETS IN THE TOP 10.
General context: The development of the complex structure is gradually coming to an end as the accumulation pattern type #4 is nearing completion. The SHOCK of the outflow of funds peaked at around $400B on 10/10/2025, witnessing a strong cleansing of projects that previously seemed to provide no real value. In the first three months of the year, liquidity and cash flow still show a suspicious trend with significant sell-offs by Institutions, leading to a decline and a fragmented structure. Last week, institutional cash flow remained low, as demonstrated in the early days of February until now. With volatility around $40B and no signs of a strong upward trend. Therefore, we closely observe the behavior during the Potential Shakeout Event [C] [$620B - $745B]. If there is an explosive push in a bullish market condition, TOTAL3 is likely to rise to the $900B mark. At this point, Altcoins will experience short-term growth and opportunities for investors here. If not, the subsequent downward reactions will lead to extreme signals in the market in Q2.
General Context: Overall, volatility remained at low levels throughout March 2026. BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) continued to hold within the [58% - 60%] range, with no significant shifts in asset rotation; consequently, the balance between Bitcoin and Altcoins remains unclear. It is highly probable that dominance will continue to move sideways with a bias toward declining to the 55% milestone. At that stage, either both Bitcoin and Altcoins will exhibit weakness, or Altcoins will stage a strong comeback, led by the specific characteristics of various individual sectors.
