無名先生
無名先生
Main Field|#Airdrops • Financial analyst, information porter!
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$BTC
The current price has retraced below 0.50.
Let's see if we will see the same trend as the previous two times.

$BTC was rejected from its fair value gap (FVG) position.
The current trend looks increasingly similar to January 2026.

Breaking:
A giant whale placed a $60.2 million short position on $BTC, using 20x leverage.
A big bet...

🚨 "Sell in May and go away" is coming true!!
In midterm election years, this has always been a "deadly pattern" for bulls:
2014: down -69%
2018: down -72%
2022: down -71%
Three cycles, three crashes, all occurring in May.
If history repeats itself, $BTC could drop from the current level to $30,000.
This pattern has never failed.
Don't say I didn't warn you in advance...
🚨 Every four years, Bitcoin drops in May.
2014, 2018, 2022—same month, different cycles, yet similar results.
Today is April 30, 2026, and tomorrow is May 1.
This time, the macro environment is more complex than ever:
Change in the Federal Reserve Chair (bearish)
UAE exits OPEC (bearish)
FOMC just concluded (bearish)
The conditions seem highly consistent.
"Sell in May and go away."
Otherwise, you will have to bear the consequences.
Be prepared!
$BTC
My swing short position remains unchanged.
I have reduced my position added at 78K to optimize the average entry price (increased from the 74.6K range to the 76K range), while keeping the original position intact.
The stop loss (SSL) remains unchanged. I have observed early exhaustion in the low time frame (LTF), forming equal high points (EQHs), and the local trend line has been broken, while we are entering a historically relatively weak period (May).
Viewpoint: I expect the price to decline to the low 70K range, with the main target being the CME gap at 67.3K (approximately in the coming weeks).
Price action (PA) shows that liquidity is being trapped near the highs, exhibiting slow oscillation and consolidation.
Overall, there have been no unexpected developments.







