交易员法老

Pharaoh Trading good buddy @比特帝法老唯一助理

Spring has come, let's enjoy the flowers together Want to Learn together 👇$BTC $ETH $SOL $DOGE $KAT

Gather, gather, gather Continue the glory

Pharaoh's Market Watch: Brothers, it's gone crazy! The inflation data has really exploded this time, and the interest rate cuts that everyone has been hoping for are probably completely off the table in the short term. The freshly released U.S. March PCE data shot up to 3.5%, hitting a nearly three-year high. To put it simply, prices are starting to soar again, and we can mainly blame it on oil prices. The situation in the Middle East has been unstable, and when oil prices rise, overall inflation gets dragged up with it. Previously, the market was dreaming of an early interest rate cut and liquidity boost, but after seeing this data, everyone has basically woken up. The Federal Reserve is not daring to cut rates in the short term, and even the expectations for rate hikes have been raised again. The current situation is: inflation rebounding, energy prices rising, and interest rate cuts falling through. The overall environment has tightened again, so we shouldn't be too optimistic about the stock market and the crypto space; the market is likely to continue to fluctuate and frustrate us. During this time, everyone should operate cautiously and avoid blindly chasing highs with heavy positions; preserving capital is the most important thing!

Today's focus is on Bitcoin Resistance at 76,500 Can it break through?

Currently, Ethereum has strong support at 2200, and it shouldn't break here. A small rebound should be good. $BTC $DOGE $DOGE #美伊走向长期封锁：外交窗口关闭 #美联储4月利率决议：罕见4票反对

Community short position Feeling good about $BTC $DOGE $SOL #KelpDAO自救：$7100万ETH能否解冻

Pharaoh's Market Watch: Brothers, I've discovered a chilling "curse": whenever the Federal Reserve changes its chair, Bitcoin has to "cross the calamity"! 🪙 Looking back at history, this pattern is enough to make one’s scalp tingle: 📉 A bloody history: three chairs, three halving events 1. Yellen Era (2014): Took office in January, BTC around $770; by the end of the year, it was slashed to $320, halved! 2. Powell's debut (2018): Took office in February, from over $10,000 all the way down to $3,700 by the end of the year, ankle slashed! 3. Powell's reappointment (2022): Started his second term in May, crashing from $38,000 to $16,000 in November, once again halved! Conclusion: No matter who it is, a new official always brings three fires, and the crypto market first falls as a sign of respect, with an average drop of over 60% 😱. 🔮 2026 Curse: Powell steps down in May, will history repeat? Powell's term officially ends on May 15, 2026. If the curse continues, this means: • Scenario A (change of personnel): A new chair takes office, the market faces policy uncertainty, panic selling ensues. • Scenario B (reappointment): Even if Powell stays, the swearing-in day is often a turning point. 💡 The truth: Is it a "people" problem, or a "liquidity" problem? Don’t just focus on the chair's face; look at the Federal Reserve's hands: • Rate hikes/balance sheet reduction (liquidity tightening) = risk assets plummet. The previous major drops were essentially due to liquidity tightening, coinciding with the change of leadership. • Rate cuts/injections = bull market takes off. So, don’t be scared by the "change of personnel". What you really need to keep an eye on are the interest rate decisions and the balance sheet. If the new chair comes in and goes dovish, the curse might actually turn into a golden opportunity! ⚠️ Operational advice: Reduce leverage around May, and wait for the new chair's debut statement before taking action. Don’t bet on a one-sided market; fasten your seatbelt and watch the show! $ZKJ $SOL $DOGE #MuskVsUltraman: $130 Billion AI Century Trial #Powell4.29InterestRateDecision: The Final Battle of His Term #PredictiveMarketRegulationWar: CFTC Sues Multiple States for Jurisdiction

Tonight, Bitcoin's strong support at 75,000 If it breaks, it's gg $BTC $ETH $DOGE #The White House previews a major announcement on strategic BTC reserves #KelpDAO rescue concludes: who will pay for the loophole #IBIT options historically surpass Deribit

Chattering incessantly Dropped to the ground like shit $ETH $BTC $DOGE #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者 #KelpDAO救援收官：谁为漏洞买单

Pharaoh's Market Watch: ⚠️ 【Emergency Risk Alert】June "Liquidity Drain" Alarm is Sounding! Brothers, don’t be fooled by the fact that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is holding steady today (maintaining 0.75%); this is completely the calm before the storm! The market's pullback these past few days is due to the "hawkish" remarks from BOJ Governor Ueda—an interest rate hike in June is highly likely! ------ 🤯 Why Can Japan's Rate Hike Scare the World? Many people only focus on the Federal Reserve, not realizing that Japan is the "invisible faucet" of global liquidity. The logic is simple: 1. The world's largest "carry trade" financier: For decades, smart money around the globe has been doing one thing—"borrow yen, invest globally." Because yen interest rates are so low, they borrow yen, convert it to dollars to buy U.S. stocks, or buy Bitcoin, profiting from the huge interest rate differential. 2. The faucet is about to be turned off: Once Japan raises interest rates, the cost of borrowing yen increases, and these "arbitrage trades" will have to quickly sell assets and convert back to yen to repay debts. This is a trillion-dollar capital inflow, liquidity will be instantly drained, and both the U.S. stock market and the crypto market will tremble. ------ 📉 A Historical Tale of Woe: BOJ Raises Rates, Accounts Shrink This is not alarmism; just look at past "tragedies": • 2024.03.19: BOJ ends negative interest rates, U.S. stock bull market hits the brakes, Bitcoin falls from over 70,000. • 2024.07.31: BOJ raises rates again, Bitcoin plummets from 62,000 to 49,000. • 2025.12: The most recent rate hike, Bitcoin crashes from 116,000 to 80,000. Conclusion: BOJ rate hikes = "death scythe" for global risk assets. ------ 🚨 June Action Guide This time, the BOJ's internal vote was 6:3, showing significant disagreement, and inflation expectations have also been raised. The meeting on June 16 is extremely perilous. Recommendations: • Don’t go all in before the June meeting; be cautious of a "sell the news" decline. • Keep some powder dry; wait for the rate hike to settle, then consider bottom-fishing after the market panic. Remember: The Federal Reserve manages sentiment, the Bank of Japan manages liquidity. In June, watch your wallet! $BTC $ETH $DOGE #白宫预告战略BTC储备重大公告 #美伊谈判僵局：三阶段方案遭特朗普否决 #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者

Gathering together Continuing the sprint towards 20 consecutive wins $BTC $DOGE $ETH #美司法部：不起诉加密开发者 #鲍威尔4·29议息：任期收官之战 #沃什提名落定：首位持币Fed主席