
李云龙🪖
李云龙🪖
I am Li Yunlong, you can call me the head of the regiment, or you can call me Lao Li, English name Loong Li, entered the circle in 2021, likes to make contracts, the founder of the "Yidao" trading system, hobby cannons, second battalion commander, pull Lao Tzu's Italian cannon over, I want to fire at the dog village!
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🔥HYPE/USDT 4-Hour ICT In-Depth Analysis|Complete Trading Plan for Direct Reference
Includes Market Structure + Precise Long and Short Entry Points, Fully Grasp Institutional Behavior Logic
1. Overall Market Structure
The current market maintains a bullish trend overall, with higher highs and higher lows continuously forming, and no structural reversal (CHoCH) has appeared yet. In the short term, the price has entered a consolidation phase with strong resistance above, intensifying the long-short battle. Blind chasing of orders carries extremely high risk.
2. Key Upper Zone: Order Block (OB) Strong Resistance
• Range: 63.00 - 64.50
• ICT Logic: This area is a short order block left by institutions from earlier periods, combined with liquidity at cycle highs, concentrating selling pressure. The price has tested this zone multiple times but failed to break through effectively, making it an important defense level.
• Interpretation: Before a volume breakout occurs, this is a prime shorting spot for short-term trades; once the price firmly holds above, bulls will initiate a new upward wave.
3. Key Lower Zone: Fair Value Gap (FVG) + Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) Strong Support
• Range: 56.00 - 57.50
• ICT Logic: This zone represents a fair value gap and the optimal entry area left during the upward move, combined with liquidity at cycle lows and moving average support, showing strong buying pressure.
• Interpretation: A price pullback to this zone offers a low-risk opportunity to go long with the trend; a decisive break below 55.00 would completely break the bullish structure, requiring a full strategy shift.
4. Trend-Following Long Strategy (Priority Operation)
Entry Condition: Price retraces to 56.50 - 57.50, completes liquidity sweep below, then forms a reversal candlestick
Stop Loss: 55.00
Take Profit Levels:
1. TP1: 61.00 Reduce position by half, move stop loss to breakeven
2. TP2: 63.50-64.00 Core target, near upper resistance zone
3. TP3: 65.00-65.50 Ultimate target, cycle high confluence
5. Counter-Trend Short Strategy (For Short-Term Arbitrage Only, Light Position)
Entry Condition: Price rebounds to 63.50 - 64.50, tests order block, then shows signs of stalling and falling back
Stop Loss: 65.50
Take Profit Levels:
1. TP1: 60.00 Reduce position by half, move stop loss to breakeven
2. TP2: 57.50-58.00 Core target, near mid-term support
3. TP3: 56.00-56.50 Ultimate target, key lower support zone
6. ICT Core Trading Rules
1. Follow liquidity logic, only wait for pullback opportunities after liquidity sweeps; do not chase price mid-move
2. The large cycle bullish structure remains intact; short positions are limited to short-term trades only, strictly avoid heavy positions or holding losing trades
3. Strictly execute stop losses; exit immediately upon structural break, avoid subjective market assumptions
📌 Summary: At this stage, mainly observe and wait; buy on support dips, test shorts at resistance, and patiently wait for standard signals before acting.
#HYPE #ICTTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingTips

Learned 0.67 "Devil Fibonacci"

Astronomer
$eth
After a daily top, now, a daily bottom
Quick post on $eth. My opinion on it is not often shared. I mainly track it as a close relative to $btc, as family members share dna and help understand each other, through usage of correlation mechanics (mmd, non-mmd, and relative cyclical timing).
But with the downtrend done imo and a bottom forming as openly spoken about on $btc, $eth quietly follows the way we know it so posting is relevant now.
So, the same way I posted my bottom plan on $btc, here is my plan on $eth, directly taken from $btc's inspiration as per usual, but with its own zones, plan and nuances in mind.
Good practice to do, because if both $btc and $eth have my exact reasons for a bottom, then it reinforces the plan of each in the way one extra confluence does.
A bottom
So indeed, just like $btc bottoms imo in its purple zone (situated 70-73k), imo, so does $eth bottom in its zone (situated 1900-2030). As a local refined zone, it is also supported by my modified version of the golden zone presented here.
"How do I draw your golden zone, Astro?" Pivots used are formed on 6th of Feb and 17th of April. With fibs active the 0.618 and the 0.67 "devil's fib" as my twist. At the same time, we have an H6 mmd with the Thursday low and Friday low as relatives, with the apex of the bottom the first tap of that mmd, right onto (slightly front run).
That front run, was verifiable with order flow with clear $eth signatures, which is why I love modern technology so much per my eternal frustration of being front run during the start of my career.
So truly, all you could ever wish for on $eth for a bottom, giving nice confluence to why $btc bottomed too.
2 assets, heavily correlated, leading to the same idea plus or minus nuances.
Locally, we have the same structure forming as well.
No trades taken here, not of interest, I prefer $btc, but the same techniques I use for $btc apply to $eth and can be used if preferred.
I know some of you like to trade $eth instead, so here you go.
I'd also like to remind you we still have the macro mmd of the Feb 6th low at play as the low is holding.
There are some more zones and confluences at play, but this is more than enough to keep you in the loop in case you want to trade $eth instead of $btc.
Happy we received our move down as a drop off 2450, now, confident in the bottom.
Enjoy.

李云龙🪖 reposted

$BTC
It's that time again, monthly close day.
BTC is currently dumping off into June. While I still expect June to finish in the red, I think there's a good chance we see an early month relief rally first.
A short term push higher over the first week or so could occur before further downside.

⚠️ Ultimate advice for today: It's best not to trade today!
2026.5.30 | Jiǎchén Closed Day
Many people ask if it's a good time to bottom-fish or place orders now.
To be straightforward: entering the market today will definitely get you shaken out!
The current market situation is clear at a glance.
The daily chart is completely under weak suppression.
All moving averages are sloping downward.
The rebound lacks any strength, and the stabilization is all an illusion.
The sideways movement around 73000
is not a bottom formation or a halt in decline,
just a brief pause in a downtrend.
Market sentiment is extremely fearful.
The market repeatedly oscillates, with fake breakouts and false stabilizations everywhere.
Opening positions now is just giving away money.
Looking at today's timing and energy field,
Jiǎchén Closed Day is suitable for hiding, not for action.
Closed Day signifies contraction, closure, and rest.
The energy of heaven and earth does not support any trending market.
Today there is no one-sided move, no direction, no profit,
only:
Repeated stop-losses,
Back-and-forth shakeouts,
Mental breakdowns,
Frequent reversals leading to being trapped.
✅ The only correct action today:
No trading, no bottom-fishing, no new positions, no speculation.
Preserving your principal is the biggest profit today!
The trend is unclear, the energy field hasn't turned positive.
Be patient, stay out of the market, and wait for the best window.
#BTC #Bitcoin #TodayMarket #TradingDiscipline

李云龙🪖 reposted

After looking around, the AI Meme trend hasn't been mentioned for a long time.
After Truth Terminal popularized $GOAT last year, Meme coins tagged with AI on CoinGecko surged to over 300. Now their market cap remains just over $700 million, with most having dropped more than 80% from their highs, and some have gone to zero. The project teams' approach was simple back then: wrap a ChatGPT shell, have AI Agents post and reply on X, and claim to be autonomous intelligent assets. Essentially, it was just Meme coins with an AI skin—previously KOLs shouted buy signals, now AI does.
Users have since become savvy. No matter how actively AI posts, if the token distribution hasn't changed, early holders will still dump, and slow sellers will buy.
I thought about this issue at the time. Memes rely on emotional resonance—a group of people rushing together, playing memes, shouting GM, sharing the feeling of being on the same boat. What can AI Agents resonate with? They don't understand FOMO, panic, or when to shut up. They post according to preset scripts, while people underneath have their own agendas, so no true consensus forms. The novelty won't last long.
But now the interesting part is emerging. The narrative is quietly shifting. Previously, people asked which AI coin could rise; now some are asking what AI can actually do in crypto. Two directions have recently surfaced:
One is AI infrastructure RWA (Real World Assets). Instead of issuing tokens for AI to shout buy signals, this involves tokenizing physical assets like GPU clusters, computing servers, and data centers. These assets inherently generate cash flow and don't rely on narratives to survive. For example, projects like RAX Finance are pushing RWA from on-chain government bonds toward on-chain factories.
The other is AI wallets. Cobo launched an Agent-exclusive wallet, and Coinbase is also promoting AI Agent infrastructure. The logic is straightforward: if AI is the future productivity tool, it needs an entry point that can manage money autonomously. But thinking deeper, when transaction volumes between Agents increase, who will backstop payments, settlements, and defense against attacks? These needs are closer to the problems Bitcoin originally aimed to solve, not the DeFi liquidity pool model. Last year retail investors speculated on a goat-themed Meme called GOAT; this year, funds are building another GOAT—the underlying settlement pipeline needed for the Agent economy.
The commonality of these two directions: they don't rely on AI storytelling but on AI doing real work. From AI posting Memes to AI managing assets, the imagination hasn't shrunk, and the sense of practical implementation has grown significantly.
At this stage, the AI narrative is at a transitional point. The old stories no longer hold, and the new ones haven't fully taken over. Directions are often set quietly, not shouted out in the heat of the moment. The AI Meme wave was more of a collective delusion at the end of the bull market. After the delusion fades, projects truly building infrastructure will emerge. Going forward, the focus should not be on who is shouting, but on who is building.
If the old man manages to dodge it this time, he truly deserves the title of Stock God
大漂亮C-Labs
The Buffett Indicator (Market Cap/GDP) has just hit a historic high.
The internet bubble in 2000 was at 140%
Before the 2007 financial crisis, it was 105%
And now it has reached 239% 😂
The old man is almost 100 years old, and in his lifetime, he has never seen such a scene, so scared that he has been reducing his positions and holding cash to watch 😄
At the same time, there are a bunch of people shouting about the AI revolution and rushing in desperately, while looking down on Buffett for being too cautious to make big money 🤣



How many people are actually longing Bitcoin? Even after such a significant drop, the funding rate is still positive.$BTC

🚨 LAB/USDT|The last frenzy of the dog whale, the short sellers' feast is about to begin
Family, this round of LAB's pump has finally returned to the RAVE pattern I can understand.
First, for those who haven't been watching the market, here’s the current situation:
• 24-hour surge of over 35%, a violent pump
• Price is now around $6, charging upwards
• But open interest, funding rate, and long-short ratio all reveal the dog whale’s hidden intentions
🔍 Three details tell you the essence of this pump
1. Open Interest: Diving from a high level, the main force is pumping while running away
Open interest dropped from a peak of over 27 million to less than 5 million now.
While pumping, the capital is decreasing, not increasing. This is not new money entering, but the dog whale quietly selling off by riding the hype.
2. Funding Rate: About to turn negative, longs can’t hold on
The latest rate is 0.005%, with multiple occurrences of negative values.
This means more people are shorting the market, longs have to pay shorts, and the long positions have long lost momentum. Simply put, this pump is a short squeeze aimed at blowing up retail short positions.
3. Long-Short Ratio: 73% of accounts are short, the short squeeze script is set
Short accounts make up 73.1%, longs only 26.9%, long-short ratio 0.37.
When most people are bearish, the dog whale excels at reverse harvesting: first pump to blow up shorts, then flip to dump, profiting from both sides.
🎬 This is the classic three-step harvesting of the dog whale
1. Short ambush, target locked
Retail traders collectively shorting, these shorts are the dog whale’s ready “harvest targets,” pumping to blow them up lets them directly eat the margin.
2. Violent pump, lure longs to take the bag
Big green candles, high gains, creating the illusion that the coin is about to take off, attracting chasing retail buyers to enter.
3. Pump while withdrawing, main force exits
Open interest falls instead of rising, showing the dog whale isn’t adding long positions but selling off by riding the hype. Once chips are sold, the pump naturally ends.
📌 My plan: above $10, look for opportunities to short
This pump is very likely the dog whale’s last frenzy.
• Target price: above 10 USDT, act when volume expands but price stagnates with a long upper wick
• Position management: build positions in batches, no all-in, no holding losing positions
• Risk control first: set stop losses, don’t get caught by the dog whale’s last bull trap
One last word: In the futures market, when everyone thinks “the coin will keep rising,” that’s often the most dangerous time.
This round, I’m siding with the shorts.
lab:native #LAB


🚨 LAB/USDT|The last frenzy of the dog whales, the short sellers' feast is about to begin
This round of LAB's pump has finally returned to the RAVE mode I can understand.
First, a quick update for those not watching the market:
• 24-hour surge of over 35%, a violent pump
• Price is now around $6, charging upwards
• But open interest, funding rate, and long-short ratio all reveal the dog whales' little tricks
🔍 Three details that reveal the true nature of this pump
1. Open Interest: Diving from highs, the main force is pumping while running
Open interest has dropped from a peak of over 27 million to less than 5 million now.
While pumping, the capital is decreasing, not increasing. This is not new money entering, but dog whales quietly selling off by riding the hype.
2. Funding Rate: About to turn negative, bulls can't hold on
The latest rate is 0.005%, with multiple negative occurrences.
This means more people are shorting the market, bulls have to pay shorts, and the long positions have long lost momentum. This pump is basically a short squeeze, blowing up retail short positions.
3. Long-Short Ratio: 73% of accounts are short, the short squeeze script is set
Short accounts make up 73.1%, longs only 26.9%, ratio 0.37.
When most people are bearish, dog whales excel at reverse harvesting: first pump to blow up shorts, then flip to dump, profiting from both sides.
🎬 This is the classic three-step harvesting of dog whales
1. Short ambush, target locked
Retail traders collectively shorting, these shorts are ready "harvest targets" for dog whales, pumping to blow them up and directly eat the margin.
2. Violent pump, lure longs to catch the falling knife
Big green candles, high gains, creating the illusion that "the coin is about to take off," attracting chasing retail buyers.
3. Pump while withdrawing, main force exits
Open interest falls instead of rising, showing dog whales are not adding longs but selling off by riding the hype. Once chips are sold, the pump naturally ends.
📌 My plan: Above $10, look for opportunities to short
This pump is very likely the dog whales' last frenzy.
• Target price: Above 10 USDT, act when volume expands but price stagnates with a long upper wick
• Position management: Build positions in batches, no all-in, no holding losing positions
• Risk control first: Set stop losses, don't get caught by the dog whales' last bull trap
One last word: In the futures market, when everyone thinks "the coin will keep rising," that's often the most dangerous time.
This round, I'm siding with the bears.
$LAB


The entire network is shouting "institutions dumping, peak and pullback," but what I see behind this round of HYPE pullback are three major events happening:
Bears are being wiped out and exiting, institutions are orderly rotating their positions, and traditional financial giants are quietly entering.
1. The so-called institutional selling is actually textbook profit-taking
Galaxy Digital unstaked 1 million HYPE tokens, which the market interpreted as a panic sell-off, but no one has done the math:
• The holding cost was about $45.7, and at the time of unstaking, the coin price was still around $57, representing an active profit-taking after a 25% unrealized gain, not a bearish exit.
• They did not liquidate their entire position, only transferred part of their holdings; the core position remains, essentially cashing in profits at a high level to make room for new capital inflows.
• During the same period, HYPE ETF net inflows exceeded $100 million, indicating that holdings are transferring from early VCs to a broader range of institutional investors, with market absorption far beyond expectations.
This is not institutional flight; it is a healthy rotation where old capital exits and new Wall Street funds enter.
2. Bears suffered a $29 million loss and exited, completely removing the largest source of selling pressure
Loracle’s short position, built with 5x leverage, suffered a paper loss exceeding $29 million during this pullback and was likely forced to liquidate.
• This was not an ordinary short squeeze but a thorough market rejection of the "protocol fee bubble theory."
• As a leading derivatives DEX, Hyperliquid has already established barriers with deep liquidity and strong user retention; bears only see short-term pullbacks and ignore the project’s fundamental resilience.
• Aggressive short positions were directly eliminated, significantly increasing the cost and risk of future shorting, effectively building a natural "bear firewall" for the coin price, which will greatly reduce selling pressure from future pullbacks.
Bears have vanished, and the resistance to upward movement is being gradually removed.
3. Multiple visits from ICE CEO are rewriting HYPE’s valuation ceiling
The real signal of market undervaluation comes from the moves of Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).
The CEO of ICE (parent company of NYSE) has visited the Hyperliquid team multiple times to explore cooperation possibilities.
• This means HYPE’s valuation logic is about to undergo a qualitative leap: from purely protocol fee revenue to a compliance access premium.
• Once the cooperation direction is clear, Hyperliquid will transform from a challenger in traditional finance to a compliance-approved asset recognized by top institutions, opening up vast imagination space.
• The current pullback looks more like the market pre-digesting this expectation, leaving room for subsequent valuation increases.
4. Summary: This pullback clears the way for the next market cycle
Overall, this pullback is not the end of the market but a combination of bears exiting, institutions rotating, and new narratives warming up—a key step to clear obstacles for the next market cycle.
Short-term volatility will persist, but the logic of institutional reshuffling is already taking shape, and the expectation of ICE cooperation is quietly pushing HYPE onto a higher-dimensional track.
When others panic, you fear; when others don’t understand, you position.
This is not the end; it is the true beginning of the big HYPE market.
#HYPE回调:空头退场与机构接力同步
$HYPE

