Post
Nova
Nova
When you want to frontrun a bull cycle know that that usually only works on Bitcoin and a few of the other "big boys" in the likes of Ethereum or TAO or Mantle or ... Why? In the low cap niche 99% effectively don't bounce back at all (devs and teams moved on to the next). So there's no winning with those? There is, but those are best entered and exited in the very SAME cycle. And because it's extremely hard to pick out the 1% (the number is actually lower) that does bounce back here it's also best you only take on this niche AFTER risk-on season has already started. Crypto is already extremely cyclical (dependend on risk on vs risk off). Micro-low caps even infinitely MORE.
Nova
Nova
The majority of altcoins look like this today. Yet one of the biggest myths/lies that has been told for years is that these charts are actually bullish. Why? It's 99% down. So there's infinite upside! Well this is crypto. It doesn't work like that. When a new "season of alt outperformance" starts stuff will go up. But not charts like these. It's usually the stuff that actually kept up decently well (those with staying power) that run back up. And the devs or founders that are still here from the tokens that created a chart like the one below here? They actually just start or make a new one. This is not speculation or an opinion of mine. As someone with a decent following and connections I've learned that the following statement is 100% a fact: "It's WAY easier and EXTREMELY more lucrative for a dev or founder to hype and push a new one than to revive their old one and keep that going" So that's also exactly what happens. In a season of outperformance you'll continue to see new stuff pop up left and right with maybe 1% of old also catching bids (they will exist but those are exceptions). So it's mostly: 1/ The Big Guard Bitcoin, Ethereum but also the protocols that are household names right now like Mantle or Aave or Morpho or ... 2/ The 1% of old Some low-mid caps that do end up beating the rule and actually catch good bids. Keep in mind it's almost never micro caps here. They stayed micro caps or got that low for a reason. Those devs generally just move on and try again. 3/ The new Micro and low caps alike. Many of them don't keep pumping ofcourse. Just short lived hype that shows up and is the talk of the town for a few weeks while capital rotates to the next. A very few however do make it into bigger territory. Summary: As always "most altcoins" aren't worth holding through a bear market. You enter and exit them in the same bull cycle. But at heavy discounts in a bearish cycle only the more established ones are worth bidding again in anticipation of a new bullish phase. If you really want to take your shot at some micro and or low caps, those are generally best left for when risk-on season has ALREADY started. You can't front-run micro caps before the pump because 99% don't survive the bear cycle.

Disclaimer: OKX TR Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!