Most people think the bull market will last forever, but they are wrong
I analyzed each cycle of #btc and altcoin seasons, and historically, October has been a key exit time
Review history, plan ahead, and lock in profits
Here's why and what 👇🧵 you should know
1/ ✸ The growth of the cryptocurrency market will not last forever, but most people only realize this after a crash.
✸ Past cycles show how everything actually works, as we can look at them without any emotions—just treating them as data.
✸ This is exactly what I have been doing for the past few months, and I want to explain why I have been planning to exit while others are just entering:
3/ ✸For this, I use the following indicators:
→ MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value Ratio)
→ NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)
→ SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio)
✸They won't tell you when to sell, but they will clearly indicate when it is very dangerous to continue holding.
4/ ✸ In the weeks leading up to the massive sell-off in 2017 and 2021, signs of overheating were already visible.
✸ The current situation is almost the same, with its value approaching an overheating state.
✸ This means that the bull market and altcoin peak in 2025 will occur between August and September, and most assets should be sold before October.
5/ ✸ Before you realize profits, it's just numbers on a screen that can disappear at any moment.
✸ This is especially important during peak cycles, as shifts in sentiment and decreased liquidity can lead to crashes.
✸ That's why I no longer think "I'll wait a little longer," because it brings unnecessary risk.
6/ ✸You should take the following actions:
→Take profits gradually
→Diversify your capital, including assets, stable funds, and cash
→Never re-enter after experiencing FOMO
✸Discipline in asset management is the key to success, especially when the market starts to send warning signals.
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