We are entering a period of macro liquidity that is creating a violent squeeze in short positioning that is similar to 2021 when $GME made its historic rally Hedge Funds are about to get caught offsides again 🧵👇 @TheRoaringKitty and @unusual_whales = important for this
We entered this year with a massive washout in long positioning and hedge funds were able to limit their drawdowns by being short or hedged. The tail index showing the pricing of OTM puts on SPX blew out with the VIX showing a massive premium for hedges. As this went down, everyone began to realize they the tariff dynamic was all misdirection by @realDonaldTrump and @SecScottBessent and they needed to get long fast.
The danger that hedge funds have missed is that a lot of people were betting on a recession and downside. @GoldmanSachs floated an entire narrative about a 65% probability of a recession
Now here is the thing, what do low quality trash companies typically do? THEY GO DOWN and hedge funds short them for this reason. This is why $GME was originally shorted. Typical long short hedge funds get caught offsides when you have massive macro changes that catch their bottom up fundamentals offsides.
This falls directly in line with the thesis I have been laying out in equities:
There is excessive focus on an imminent recession in the US We are seeing @elonmusk, corporations, and economists all have the same consensus about risks to growth The credit cycle is telling a different story and this will have massive implications for markets 🧵👇
If you're looking for an option tool to map gamma squeezed in these names, I'd suggest @unusual_whales
A primer on the Periscope exposure tool:
In my own trading, one of my main focuses over the next 30 trading days will be focusing on trading these short squeezes as hedge funds realize they are offsides in a massive way. How? By mapping option flows across these stocks and identifying WHEN hedge funds are getting blown out
It is in environments like this that equities really rally. This is why I have been long the Russell
I am bullish the Russell with this risk-reward if this view is realized, Solana is likely moving higher as well Everything is laid out See all of the research here:
And long BTC:
running a long BTC here
Hedge Funds are about to get squeezed yet again and the credit cycle is now in full swing pumping liquidity into the system. I will be writing trade write ups on these opportunities and how the flows are developing here:
Get ready anon
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